Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.059828 0.067778 0.075905 0.084803 0.094241 0.103927 0.114592
2025-09-07 0.047334 0.058996 0.071495 0.085749 0.101427 0.118033 0.136841
2025-09-14 0.039616 0.053592 0.069166 0.087498 0.108202 0.130619 0.156492
2025-09-21 0.035122 0.050946 0.069156 0.091125 0.116435 0.144277 0.176843
2025-09-28 0.030317 0.047247 0.067369 0.092219 0.121377 0.153911 0.192409
2025-10-05 0.029500 0.048219 0.070934 0.099401 0.133173 0.171176 0.216450
2025-10-12 0.025064 0.044119 0.067981 0.098532 0.135353 0.177276 0.227688
2025-10-19 0.022391 0.042032 0.067293 0.100200 0.140357 0.186495 0.242370
2025-10-26 0.019584 0.039465 0.065773 0.100666 0.143780 0.193763 0.254715
2025-11-02 0.017506 0.037707 0.065143 0.102109 0.148277 0.202210 0.268359
2025-11-09 0.015156 0.035295 0.063468 0.102088 0.150882 0.208341 0.279239
2025-11-16 0.012171 0.031542 0.059722 0.099203 0.149796 0.209953 0.284714
2025-11-23 0.009550 0.028110 0.056332 0.096812 0.149455 0.212673 0.291809
2025-11-30 0.008128 0.026530 0.055491 0.097755 0.153305 0.220482 0.304998
2025-12-07 0.007099 0.025507 0.055377 0.099621 0.158292 0.229654 0.319807
2025-12-14 0.006637 0.025504 0.056760 0.103510 0.165861 0.241978 0.338394
2025-12-21 0.005657 0.024296 0.056216 0.104682 0.169891 0.249941 0.351737
2025-12-28 0.006060 0.026063 0.060330 0.112369 0.182392 0.268357 0.377680
2026-01-04 0.004805 0.024013 0.058341 0.111441 0.183641 0.272864 0.386852
2026-01-11 0.004170 0.023233 0.058307 0.113224 0.188402 0.281696 0.401233
2026-01-18 0.003412 0.021975 0.057411 0.113722 0.191433 0.288354 0.412965
2026-01-25 0.002893 0.021205 0.057266 0.115264 0.195822 0.296689 0.426726
2026-02-01 0.002250 0.019879 0.056088 0.115242 0.198087 0.302338 0.437193